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The Search for Models of Clinical Judgment: Fast, Frugal, and Friendly in Paul Meehl's Spirit

Abstract : Most psychologists have classified Meehl's “disturbing little book” as an attack against the reliability of clinical judgment and as a call for the replacement of clinical judges by actuarial methods. But Meehl had a lot more to say. His book presented three challenges to the study of judgment that have received scant attention. Psychologists have to develop (a) context-specific models of judgment, (b) non-linear process models that take into account the bounded nature of judgment, and (c) clinician-friendly actuarial methods. These challenges have received renewed attention in the ABC research program. Here we show how models of bounded and ecological rationality can be used to describe judgments and improve the accuracy and friendliness of actuarial methods in Paul Meehl's spirit.
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https://jeannicod.ccsd.cnrs.fr/ijn_00000533
Contributor : Nicolas Bullot <>
Submitted on : Sunday, September 12, 2004 - 10:52:06 AM
Last modification on : Sunday, September 12, 2004 - 10:52:06 AM
Document(s) archivé(s) le : Saturday, April 3, 2010 - 8:39:02 PM

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  • HAL Id : ijn_00000533, version 1

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Konstantinos Katsikopoulos, Edouard Machery, Thorsten Pachur, Annika Wallin. The Search for Models of Clinical Judgment: Fast, Frugal, and Friendly in Paul Meehl's Spirit. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Wiley, 2004. ⟨ijn_00000533⟩

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